Weekend racing review

Filed on 7 Mar 2014 @ 12:44

The first two races at Doncaster were won respectively by Victor Hewgo and Mayfair Minx. Both won easily appreciating the ground underhoof. Aintree is likely to their next port of call where they would be players in their chosen events.

Cheltenham clues - novice chasers ratings and thoughts

Filed on 28 Jan 2014 @ 11:52

Felix Yonger is, in my opinion, tailor made for the Arkle, while Wonderful Charm will be a tough nut to crack in the JLT Chase. I am unsure if Defy Logic is a Cheltenham horse; however, with eight career runs under his saddle there is surely more to come.

Horses to follow over jumps this season

Filed on 20 Nov 2013 @ 10:49

West Wizard. His hurdle debut is eagerly awaited. Described by Anthony Bromley as a good-looking, big horse, with a mass of untapped potential. Made his debut last March on heavy ground in a Bumper at Kempton Park. Having travelled well through the race, he cruised clear to win as he liked. The second and third have won races, while the fourth has finished runner-up on four occasions since that race.

Racing Post Trophy ratings preview

Filed on 22 Oct 2013 @ 09:49

The turn of foot Century showed took five-lengths out of the third horse who was level with him, on the outside of the field, at that time.

Ladbrokes St Leger ratings preview

Filed on 10 Sep 2013 @ 07:42

Galileo Rock (113) His breeding and racing style suggests he will stay the trip, while he will arrive a fresh horse. Should enjoy the galloping track and be on the premises when it matters. Followed a third in the Sandown Park Derby trial with a similar position at Epsom. He went on to finish second in the Irish equivalent.

Investec Oaks preview

Filed on 30 May 2013 @ 17:17

Moth brings enhanced Classic form to the table. Followed an impressive win in a maiden at the Curragh with a fine third in the 1000 Guineas. She was unlucky in that race. Having tracked Hot Snap, she lost ground when that filly hung under pressure. When finally seeing daylight, she ran on strongly. Full-sister to a mile and a half winner.

Scottish Grand National preview

Filed on 17 Apr 2013 @ 08:53

Ten-Year Statistics: Only one winner carried more than 10-9; all winners were eight, nine, ten, or eleven; no favourite has won; revious run between seven and ...

Cheltenham ratings review - chasers

Filed on 29 Mar 2013 @ 08:04

Tofino Bay (136). Ran a blinder in the National Hunt Chase. He led or disputed the lead from the start and stayed on well when challenged. Hotly challenged when left clear at the second last, he may have idled on the run-in. A consistent fellow, his FSF is higher than Back In Focus thanks to better time figures.

Cheltenham ratings review - hurdlers

Filed on 29 Mar 2013 @ 08:01

Our Conor (144). Produced a performance that sees his RPR figure 10lb higher than Katchit’s win in the same race. Katchit was the last Triumph Hurdle winner to follow-up in the following season’s Champion Hurdle. With speed on his sire’s side and stamina on the dam’s, he look the real deal. Jumps and travels with ease and never looked in a moment’s danger from the second last. Taking into account he should improve at least 7lb, based on the weight-for-age scale, he deserves his place at the head of the 2014 Champion Hurdle market.

Cheltenham: the Irish challenge

Filed on 8 Mar 2013 @ 10:18

Benefficient (132) has won Grade One races over fences and hurdles. His form reads well and he is expected to appreciate better ground. Looks one to consider at long-odds in his chosen race. Trainer apparently believes Aintree will suit him better. He has won on good to soft through to heavy going left and right-handed over two and two and a half-miles.

Cheltenham countdown

Filed on 18 Feb 2013 @ 12:42

The New One. He will probably take it up going to the last I would expect. There is no point sitting there, making a mistake at the last and getting run out of it. It is difficult but the ground cannot be as horrible as it was last time.

"I would hope all my horses have good chances but he would be the shortest-priced and the bookies are cleverer than most of us so maybe he is our best chance.

Horses to Follow, February 2013

Filed on 8 Feb 2013 @ 15:27

Rival D'Estruval. I am told he is pleasing in his preparation for the NH Chase at Cheltenham. Leading Irish amateur Derek O’Connor has been booked to ride this eight-year-old, who is twice a winner and was second to Bold Sir Brian at Carlisle.

Welsh National preview 2013

Filed on 3 Jan 2013 @ 11:00

Quartz De Thaix has been a revelation this season improving 23lb on official ratings. Jumping is much improved and 3lb better off with Master Overseer for three-quarter length defeat at Cheltenham. Yet to prove he stays this far but handles soft/heavy ground.

Horses to Follow, January 2013

Filed on 3 Jan 2013 @ 10:46

Last Shadow. An eye-catching effort at Doncaster under a sympathetic ride, he jumped slowly for the first mile when held up in rear before making late progress in the final quarter of a mile to finish fourth. Effective on soft and heavy on the flat, where he was rated 87 before selling for 210,000 Guineas at the HIT Sales last October.

King George VI Chase preview

Filed on 12 Dec 2012 @ 17:56

Long Run. FSF ratings display he improved from his seasonal reappearance 11lb in 2010 and 8lb in 2011. Long Run consistently bangs out top-class speed figures and there is a chance he has peaked earlier than is normal for national hunt horses. Course and distance form reads 1, 2, 1 and it is hard to see him not being involved at the business end. I feel it is important for Long Run to get into a steady and consistent rhythm. His jumping problems surface where there is a sudden surge in the pace. Likely to race just off the pace, it may be prudent to kick for home, coming out of the back straight.

Hennessy Gold Cup preview

Filed on 30 Nov 2012 @ 10:40

Hold On Julio. Excellent return at Cheltenham in October and aimed at this since then. Ground is now looking suitable. Trainer is bullish about his chance.

Analysis: Silviniaco Conti and Captain Chris stand out

Filed on 28 Nov 2012 @ 09:44

I find it somewhat of a surprise that Silviniaco Conti misses the King George given Paul Nicholls comments at Aintree in April. He suggested a flat track suits the horse. Whilst it is clear from his profile he dislikes the period from December to February (Four runs four losses), he is yet to prove himself to the unique test that is Prestbury Park.

Horses to Follow over jumps this season

Filed on 16 Nov 2012 @ 17:18

Coneygree. Has to be considered a leading fancy for his chosen race at the Festival. Initial FSF ratings suggest he put in as good a performance as Fingal Bay’s last year when making all the running in the Neptune Trial hurdle at Cheltenham. Piling on the pressure coming down the hill, he kept on strongly when the placed horses attempted to close him down. Long-term this half brother to Carruthers has the physical scope to make a high-class chaser. Bondage ran a sound race to finish second. According To Trev’s official rating confirms the form of the race. 20//1 with Paddy Power looks an acceptable price at this stage. With Cheltenham in mind, both his sire and dam were effective on good and good to soft.

Racing Post Hurdle preview

Filed on 15 Nov 2012 @ 10:25

Its A Gimme. A smashing return at Ascot raises hopes he can go close here. Highly touted last season, he was unable to live up to the hype, though the promise was there to see. In the same ownership as Darlan and Cash And Go.

Horses to Follow, October 2012

Filed on 17 Oct 2012 @ 11:05

Capella’s Song. An unlucky loser in my opinion and sure to break her duck in the near future.

Cesarewitch preview 2012

Filed on 11 Oct 2012 @ 17:13

Cosimo De Medici. Fourth at Ayr’s Western meeting last time and should be spot-on.

2012 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe preview

Filed on 2 Oct 2012 @ 08:54

Three-year-olds have won fifteen of the last eighteen renewals. Twenty of the last twenty-four winners won their last start. Seventeen of the last nineteen winners came from stalls one to nine.

Horses to Follow, September 2012

Filed on 6 Sep 2012 @ 13:36

Ostaad. Dettori appeared at pains not to give him a hard race and may well have won under a vigorous ride.

Horses to Follow, August 2012

Filed on 31 Jul 2012 @ 15:35

Ladyship (Oasis Dream) Sir Michael Stoute.
This filly has been consistent all season. She has been catching the eye on the gallops and is thought likely to improve further. Her dam was a dual group One winner that improved with age. Ladyship may stay seven-furlongs to a mile in due course.

King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes preview 2012

Filed on 17 Jul 2012 @ 20:06

Danedream|131*|Danedream found her form at the end of May 2011, taking the Oaks D’Italia at the San Siro. In late July and early September, she landed two Group One races in her native Germany. Arriving at Longchamp for the Arc de Triomphe, she trounced her rivals by five-lengths, displaying a blinding turn of foot. Her season ended with an honourable run in the Japan Cup. This season she landed a Group Two at Baden-Baden before disappointing in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud. That was her second poor performance at the track and may prove best forgotten. She enjoys good through to soft ground and has a telling turn of foot. Her ability to display that on courses with a short run from the home turn should prove useful at Ascot.